rouKoun13
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- 19 Ιαν 2010
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Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 2 λεπτάΠριν από 2 λεπτά
14 In short, Greece is staring at a choice between very bad and very very bad.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 4 λεπτάΠριν από 4 λεπτά
13 Whatever happens, this summer's tourist season will be harmed. If people vote for confrontation, body blow.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 5 λεπτάΠριν από 5 λεπτά
12 A Grexit means more unemployment, poverty, rationing basic commodities, massive devaluation, rising inflation.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 7 λεπτάΠριν από 7 λεπτά
11 if people back Tsipras, hard to see any outcome other than quitting euro. Creditors won't back down much if at all.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 7 λεπτάΠριν από 7 λεπτά
10 if people want to stay in €, will be extremely hard after default & capital controls. But national unity govt might just salvage things
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 10 λεπτάΠριν από 10 λεπτά
9 if people vote against Tsipras, he'll resign. But noone else can form government. So second elections, maybe political paralysis
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 12 λεπτάΠριν από 12 λεπτά
8 if people say they want creditors proposals, not clear they are still on table because programme will have expired.
27 retweets 10 favorites
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Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 13 λεπτάΠριν από 13 λεπτά
7 What will referendum question be? "Do you accept creditor proposals"? But effectively "do you want to quit euro?"
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 14 λεπτάΠριν από 14 λεπτά
6 ECB highly likely to stop emergency liquidity to banks. if capital controls not imposed on Monday, there will probably be bank run.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 15 λεπτάΠριν από 15 λεπτά
5 Greece won't be able to get extension of bailout which runs out on Tuesday, as referendum is following Sunday. Ie bailout expires.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 17 λεπτάΠριν από 17 λεπτά
4 Greece obviously won't be able to pay the IMF on Tuesday.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 17 λεπτάΠριν από 17 λεπτά
3 Tsipras didn't even complete the talks and wring out the last concessions. There was one more day to go.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 18 λεπτάΠριν από 18 λεπτά
2 All sides have mishandled negotiation but Tsipras has mishandled it particularly badly.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 19 λεπτάΠριν από 19 λεπτά
1 Tsipras is effectively calling for Greece to quit the euro. Even if that's not the question, that's what it will amount to.
14 In short, Greece is staring at a choice between very bad and very very bad.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 4 λεπτάΠριν από 4 λεπτά
13 Whatever happens, this summer's tourist season will be harmed. If people vote for confrontation, body blow.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 5 λεπτάΠριν από 5 λεπτά
12 A Grexit means more unemployment, poverty, rationing basic commodities, massive devaluation, rising inflation.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 7 λεπτάΠριν από 7 λεπτά
11 if people back Tsipras, hard to see any outcome other than quitting euro. Creditors won't back down much if at all.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 7 λεπτάΠριν από 7 λεπτά
10 if people want to stay in €, will be extremely hard after default & capital controls. But national unity govt might just salvage things
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 10 λεπτάΠριν από 10 λεπτά
9 if people vote against Tsipras, he'll resign. But noone else can form government. So second elections, maybe political paralysis
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 12 λεπτάΠριν από 12 λεπτά
8 if people say they want creditors proposals, not clear they are still on table because programme will have expired.
27 retweets 10 favorites
Απάντηση Κοινοποίηση27 Αγαπημένο10
Περισσότερα
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 13 λεπτάΠριν από 13 λεπτά
7 What will referendum question be? "Do you accept creditor proposals"? But effectively "do you want to quit euro?"
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 14 λεπτάΠριν από 14 λεπτά
6 ECB highly likely to stop emergency liquidity to banks. if capital controls not imposed on Monday, there will probably be bank run.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 15 λεπτάΠριν από 15 λεπτά
5 Greece won't be able to get extension of bailout which runs out on Tuesday, as referendum is following Sunday. Ie bailout expires.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 17 λεπτάΠριν από 17 λεπτά
4 Greece obviously won't be able to pay the IMF on Tuesday.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 17 λεπτάΠριν από 17 λεπτά
3 Tsipras didn't even complete the talks and wring out the last concessions. There was one more day to go.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 18 λεπτάΠριν από 18 λεπτά
2 All sides have mishandled negotiation but Tsipras has mishandled it particularly badly.
Hugo Dixon @Hugodixon 19 λεπτάΠριν από 19 λεπτά
1 Tsipras is effectively calling for Greece to quit the euro. Even if that's not the question, that's what it will amount to.
